In India, the Covid-19 epidemic could reach its peak in mid-November, during which there may be a shortage of ICU beds and ventilators.

New Delhi: In India, the Covid-19 epidemic could reach its peak in mid-November, during which there may be a shortage of ICU beds and ventilators. This has been claimed in a recent study. According to the study, the Covid-19 epidemic will reach its peak eight weeks late due to the lockdown.

LockdownA study by researchers from the Operations Research Group, set up by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), found that the lockdown may have pushed the epidemic to 34 to 76 days.

In addition, the lockdown reduced infection cases by 69 to 97 percent, helping to mobilize health care resources and strengthen infrastructure.

The epidemic could reach its peak by the first week of November if public health measures are stepped up and 60 per cent effective after the lockdown. After that isolation bed for 5.4 months, ICU bed for 4.6 months and 3.9 months ventilators will be reduced. This is estimated in the study.

However, without lockdown and public health measures, the situation is expected to worsen.

CoronavirusThe analysis states that about 60 per cent of deaths due to Covid-19 have been averted, and one-third of the deaths have been attributed to increased health care measures.

The researchers said that controlling Covid-19 would help in conducting a proper review of policies and strengthening the health system.

"The lockdown will delay the onset of the epidemic and give the health system the necessary time to investigate, isolate patients, treat and locate those who have come in contact with the victims," ??it said.

These will play an important role in mitigating the effects of the epidemic in India till the vaccine of Covid-19 is ready.